Frame the slate after a wild 8 week full of surprises and upheavals

Week 8 was the week of upheaval, and it’s going to make the betting public nervous after most likely suffering some big losses during the week. In this weekly article, I take a look at some of the most relevant recent trends from this season as well as historical trends for the next game with the aim of helping you make smarter, more profitable bets. As always, these trends are not always indicative of future results, but can help you better define the odds when you study the list of the best bet lines. Let’s dive in.

Interesting trends this season

Week 8 was brutal for the betting public as the favorites faltered and the underdogs crossed the line. The Underdogs were 8-7 in a row and 10-4-1 ATS in Week 8, raising their season record to 47-73 in a row and 68-53-1 against the gap. After the home teams succeeded in Week 7, the road teams went 9-6 in a row and 9-5-1 ATS in Week 8. A trend we were following in this column last week was the sub-attack at a disproportionate rate. In week 8, the unders increased to 8-7 after going 8-5 in week 7, bringing the season record for the unders to 67-54.

Week 9 betting trends to know

* DraftKings Sportsbook odds

New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts (-10.5, O / U 46)

  • The Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a loss record
  • The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
  • Over is 4-0 in the Jets’ last 4 games as an underdog
  • Over is 4-1 in Colts’ last 5 games overall

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (-6, O / U 42)

  • The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC South
  • The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in New Orleans
  • The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams
  • Under is 6-1 in Saints’ last 7 games against NFC South

Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys (-9, O / U 49.5)

  • The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record
  • Cowboys are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall
  • Under is 4-1 in the Broncos’ last 5 games as an underdog on the road
  • Over is 4-0 in the Cowboys’ last 4 games as favorite

New England Patriots (-3.5, O / U 41) vs. Carolina Panthers

  • Patriots are 2-9-1 ATS in last 12 games following ATS win
  • The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November
  • Over is 4-0 in the Patriots’ last 4 games overall
  • Under is 9-2 in the Panthers’ last 11 games overall

Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Ravens (-6, O / U 50)

  • Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall
  • The Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a losing team
  • Over is 7-1 in the Vikings’ last 8 games in November
  • Over is 7-3 in the Ravens’ last 10 games in November

Cleveland Browns v Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, O / U 46.5)

  • Browns are 1-5 ATS in last 6 games in Cincinnati
  • The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite
  • Over is 5-1 in the Browns’ last 6 games as an underdog on the road
  • Over is 4-1-1 in the Bengals’ last 6 games as a home favorite

Buffalo Bills (-14.5, O / U 48.5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Bills are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November
  • The Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog
  • Over is 8-1-1 in the Bills’ last 10 grass games
  • Under is 6-1 in the Jaguars’ last 7 games as an underdog

Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins (-6.5, O / U 46.5)

  • The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
  • The Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a loss record
  • Under is 5-1 in the Texans’ last 6 games as an underdog on the road
  • Over is 4-0 in the Dolphins’ last 4 lawn games

Las Vegas Raiders (-3, O / U 46.5) vs. New York Giants

  • Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November
  • The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record
  • Over is 4-0 in the Raiders’ last 4 games against a team with a loss record
  • Under is 7-0-1 in the Giants’ last 8 home games

Los Angeles Chargers (-2, O / U 50) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

  • The Chargers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in November
  • The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog
  • Over is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last 6 games as a road favorite
  • Under is 14-2 in the Eagles’ last 16 games in November

Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5, O / U 48)

  • The Packers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 total games
  • The Chiefs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games after a straight win
  • Under is 6-1 in the Packers’ last 7 games against a team with a loss record
  • Under is 5-1 in Chiefs’ last 6 games following a direct loss

Arizona Cardinals (-1.5, O / U 45) vs. San Francisco 49ers

  • The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
  • The Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in San Francisco
  • The 49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games
  • Under is 10-2 in the Cardinals’ last 12 road games
  • Under has 7-3 in the last 10 meetings of these teams

Tennessee Titans v Los Angeles Rams (-7.5, O / U 54)

  • The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning record at home
  • Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record
  • Over is 10-1 in Titans’ last 11 road games
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Rams’ last 8 games after a straight win

Chicago Bears vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-6, O / U 40)

  • The Bears are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning record at home
  • The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite
  • Under is 6-1 in the Bears’ last 7 games overall
  • Under is 6-1-1 in the Steelers’ last 8 games as a home favorite


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