NBA Picks, Betting Trends: DraftKings Sportsbook Odds, Best Basketball Bets, Predictions for Jan 29
Saturday’s main slate features six games and begins at 7 p.m. ET with the final game at 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s take a look at the slate and choose the best bets for Saturday night.
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Just over a month ago, this game seemed like a preview of the 2022 NBA Finals. The Warriors have overcome their difficult time (injuries) and look like championship contenders again. The Nets are going through their rough patch (injuries) and they look old. James Harden is expected to return to the lineup on Saturday night, but Harden looks old. At times, he looked like himself aggressively attacking the basket and heading for the free throw line. However, when his offensive stats don’t come off the page, his perimeter defense — especially during regular season games — is seriously lacking. Golden State is not a great match for an aging backcourt. With Kevin Durant, the Nets ranked second in limiting their opponents’ 3-point shooting percentage (the Warriors are first), but without Durant they sank to 20th.
The Warriors are still missing Draymond Green, but Klay Thompson played a season-high 27 minutes Thursday and scored 23 points with five rebounds and four assists. Fellow splash brother Stephen Curry was down 29 points on a 6-of-10 shooting night from the 3-point line and flirted with a Minnesota triple-double (eight rebounds and six assists). The Warriors have won four straight and two of those wins were against strong opponents. Their victory over the Jazz was a boost, but they beat the Mavericks by 38 points. As five or more point favorites, the Warriors are 17-9-1. Most of the times they failed to cover this season were in games where the Warriors deployed a limited roster. While not completely healthy, this team is comparable to the version earlier this season that won every night and was unstoppable at home.
Kyrie Irving over 24.5 points
It’s always funny when the same people who shy away from logical consistency complain about logical consistency when it doesn’t suit them. At least they are consistent in that sense. To the surprise and disappointment of some, and the delight and delight of others, Kyrie Irving will be allowed to play Saturday night. This is a big moral victory for Kyrie Irving. Whatever your politics, for Kyrie, this is a win. San Francisco represents ground zero for government mandates and Kyrie will be allowed to play. It cannot be underestimated. This isn’t just some silly NBA DFS tale. He put his career on the line and won, and tonight he takes center stage and celebrates. He’ll probably be the only person celebrating in San Francisco, but being surrounded by his haters will only make his grin from ear to ear wider.
Statistically speaking, it doesn’t really need a narrative. In the last four games, Irving has scored 27, 30, 24 and 30 points. His utilization rates have been 29.5% or higher in three of those contests and his Offensive Efficiency Rating has increased every game from 119 to 134. With Kevin Durant out and James Harden nursing a hamstring injury , Irving should easily clear that number. With the story of all stories taking center stage, Irving should fly over this prop and score over 24.5 points.
Grizzlies -5.5 (-110)
Washington gets a lot of respect with that line. What they did to deserve it, no one knows. They’ve lost four in a row and failed to cover 10 of their last 11 games. On the four-game slide, Washington ranks 26th in net rating (-8.6) and 20th in the last 11 games (-1.6). Their game in Memphis is the first of a three-game road trip where they will be major underdogs every night. It’s not an optimal situation for a team that is quickly pulling out of the playoffs.
Memphis, on the other hand, continues to be one of the rising teams in the NBA. They have won 15 of their last 18 games and covered in 14 of those competitions. Memphis has covered six of its last seven home games since New Year’s Eve. In four of those covers, the Grizzlies were favorites by five points or more. The Grizzlies have a top 10 in offense and defense, so they have a top 10 Net Rating. The good home team not only beats the bad team, but they cover when it comes down to single digits.
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